Predictive Analysis Of Ice, Hybrid And Electric Vehicle: Selected Case Studies
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Date
2022-07-01
Authors
Mohd Shafee, Muhammad Amirul Farhan
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
Publisher
Universiti Sains Malaysia
Abstract
Global warming is one of the most spoken issues around the world today. This
is because the global warming has a significant impact on the human and environment.
One of the biggest factors that causes global warming is the transportation sector.
Internal combustion engine vehicle that runs on gasoline emits carbon dioxide, hence
contributing to the greenhouse gas emission. Therefore, a counter measure needs to be
taken to lessen the impact of internal combustion engine through the use of hybrid and
electric powertrain. In this study, the carbon footprint for ICEV, PHEV and BEV will
be determined through the life-cycle analysis. The models that will be used in this
selected case study is BMW 3-Series as it has a wide range of powertrain from ICE to
electric. Since all of the vehicles has the same size, same design and manufactured by
the same company in the same factory, therefore the difference between each vehicle
is negligible. Next, the forecasting of car sales trend for each powertrain can be made
through the simulation in MATLAB Simulink. By correlating both of the data for
carbon emission and car sales data, the forecasting of carbon footprint for each
powertrain in the future can be made. Among 3 scenarios that is made, it is found out
that scenario 1 emits the highest CO2 emission at 1.80688 X 10^12 kgCO2, followed
by scenario 3 at 1.58632 X 10^12 kgCO2 and the least contributor for CO2 emission
is scenario 2 at 4.6252 X 10^11 kgCO2.